That’s a very weak argument; provide data that is not currently available, or just accept your hypothesis.
Fortunately that’s not how it works. What I can say is that if the speed limit is 30mph (which it is on all my 15 mile journey to work), my average would be slightly less as I tend not to knowingly speed. If the speed limit was 20mph then my average would be slightly less as I tend not to knowingly speed.
The journey time would take longer. For you suggest that no one travels at 30mph on 30mph roads is disengenious at best. However, I’m happy if you deny the above and hold a different opinion.
You are CORRECT: the data is not available!
Your 15 mile journey at 30mph would take you 30 minutes.
Your 15 mile journey at 20mph would take you 45 minutes.
IF you feel that your 15 minutes is more important than any lives which might potentially be lost then that is your opinion, and you have justified your choice by referring to society balancing speed against transport requirements.
HOWEVER, you admit to your average being less than 30mph so are you prepared to share typical journey times (average speeds)? Personally, I would be interested to know where your commute occurs, as a 15 mile urban trip without traffic lights, roundabouts, etc whilst remaining in a 30mph limit is intriguing.
Checking back through my posts I cannot see where I have stated that journey times WOULD not increase, simply that they wouldn't increase by 50% because of other driving constraints. I even
hope that times will not increase noticeably because when vehicles travel at similar speeds there is less speeding up and slowing down.
Here is an example: to drive to my daughter's house I have to turn right from a moderately-busy main road into her housing estate. 10-20% of the time I'm able to swing in without stopping but in most cases I have to come to a halt AND so do any vehicles behind me. I sit there (and so do they) until I spot a large enough gap or someone signals me to cross in front of them: typically this might be 30seconds.
I estimate that. from a standing start, it is going to take me 2 seconds to reach safety.
30mph is approximately 15 feet per second so I need a gap of 30 feet.
20mph is 10 fps, so a gap of 20 feet will suffice.
I don't know if vehicles will maintain current gaps, making it more likely that I'll get across with a shorter delay OR if cars travelling at 20mph will be more prepared to allow me over. However, I hope that a gentler pace of driving will engender greater consideration for other people, although I suspect that some folk who are regretting all their lost minutes might be more aggressive. Also, obviously, slower vehicles may drive closer together, so large gaps would be less frequent.
We don't have the data so it's all conjecture.
Gordon