I couldn’t find the US figures for Ford v Tesla but I did find the % figures for EV cars that catch fire compared to ICE ones.
“They found that there is a
0.0012 % chance of a passenger electric vehicle
battery catching fire. In contrast, the chance of an internal combustion engine vehicle setting on fire is 0.1%.”
That suffers from a statistical error know as "right censoring". Basically, the chance of a vehicle fire (any vehicle) increases with vehicle age with the overwhelming majority of fires in ICEVs occurring in vehicles over ten years old and a majority are over 15 years old. I just checked Autotrader to find only 48 EVs over ten years old compared to over 80,000 ICEVs. When it comes to the fifteen year point, 31,000 ICEVs are listed compared to just 1 EV. Simply put, the majority of EVs just aren't old enough to be statistically at risk -- yet!
An EV
battery fire is also far worse than an ICEV fire. The
battery fire is much, much harder to extinguish and liable to reignite hours, days and sometimes many weeks after the initial fire. Further, Li-ion batteries suffer from 'dendrites', which are internal filaments that grow inside each cell as the
battery is charged and eventually cause internal short circuits. If the cell is at a low state of charge when this occurs, the cell just goes 'dead'. However, if it happens at a high state of charge, the resulting short circuit can cause the cell to overheat and might even cause thermal runaway. Note that this is a characteristic of the
battery technology and only applies to Li-ion and not to any technology that might replace it -- although currently almost all EVs use Li-ion.
For me, more disturbing is the tendency for modern cars to auto-lock after driving a short distance and for the internal door handles to be mechanically disconnected from the physical locks. This, with electric windows, means that passengers are trapped in the event of power loss -- and it's something in older cars also. I was horrified to discover that the rear door handles on my 2009 Qashqai were ineffective without 12v -- a fault in the entertainment system completely discharged the
battery and the only door I could open was the driver's. I now have a glass breaker in the glove box! This doesn't only affect EVs, but it seems to be a major reason why people could not escape and so have been killed in EV fires.